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m109a1

Articles by J. B.

Breaking News - Our Headlines -

THREAT OVERVIEW


The Nature of Threat:
The variety and lethality of domestic and international threats citizens face today are greater than at any time in history. Natural phenomenon - extreme weather, earthquakes, volcanic activity - and their effects are all "known threats" for which we plan and respond. Accidental or unintentional events, those that place the population in a specific area at risk, remain the most probable event for most people in North America. Proximity to industry and manufacturing operations, which use dangerous materials on a regular basis, constitute risk. Our highways and rail systems afford the movement of large quantities of chemical and flammable materials - each of which is a mobile threat. There are numerous other accidental risks that we live with on a daily basis. Law and safety procedures do mitigate or reduce our risk in a positive manner through deliberate analysis and corporate action. We accept human error, that accidents do happen; and, we all face the possibility of personal losses including an untimely end to life.

9/11/2001

From an international perspective, we tend to view other countries as threatening or allied. Treaties and alliances for mutual defense, trade, travel and varied diplomatic activities all warm relationships among both governments and their people. This bonding of nations reflects a commonality of basic values and goals. The law of the land in these countries is characterized as having both respect and dignity for each human being manifest in individual freedoms.

World economic growth and social revolutions of the last century have left many peoples far behind in quality of life. Characteristic in these societies is the absence of positive values in national or tribal leadership. Indeed, the leaders in such structures are, for the most part, appropriately classified as dictatorial, totalitarian, ruthless, and murdering. The law of their land allows only a society of submission, designed solely to satisfy their leader's personal ego and passion for power. The Pentagon - 9/11/2001 Their governments or organizational structures foster hatred of civilized values systemically through education. The term "brain wash" comes to mind when we consider that children are taught to accept contradictions in logic and behavior as the norm. Compliance is mandatory and dissident individuals are subjected to beating, torture, mutilation, sexual abuse, psycho-chemical experimentation and death. Family members, including wives and children, often bear witness to the indecency. They are constantly told the United States and other free countries are to blame for their condition. Lack of housing, employment, food, medicine and a constructive system of education all support this climate of submission. The population is void of human values and individual self-worth. The bare essentials of life are provided only to those who work in support of the leadership. At the extreme ends of this tyrannical structure, death is the penalty for criticism and eternal life is achieved only as a reward for obedience. Indeed, an individual who sacrifices himself for his leader's sake is elevated to the status of martyr and guaranteed eternal happiness. That belief is the genesis of the suicide bombers we observe today.

From the biblical days of Cain and Able to the present, the root cause of such behavior can only be an intrinsic evil in mankind. The USS Cole - Launched Anew Unchecked, evil has emerged to new heights with terror organizations and terrorist governments who seek only to do harm to civilized societies. With motives of self-perpetuation, power and greed, terrorist leaders have instilled hatred and coerced murder, war and genocide. Their biological and chemical capabilities are a known. Their actions to obtain a nuclear capability are also known. These types of weaponry in their hands may well be the greatest threat to mankind in history. There is little doubt that they would use them given an opportunity.


~~ J. B. Stalker

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NUCLEAR SURVIVAL 101


In a worst case terrorist or war scenario - the detonation of a nuclear weapon, distance from the burst equates to survival and longevity. Consider that a nuclear weapon can be millions of times more powerful than the largest conventional explosive. A relatively small nuclear weapon, in the order of 10kt, could be within grasp of a developing nuclear weapon program or terrorist delivery scheme. It lends itself well to political leverage for terrorists. If detonated, there are four primary nuclear effects and each is threatening in its own way. You do not need to understand nuclear physics to take defensive action during a nuclear attack, but an appreciation of their effects is essential.

Blast Effect. This is the physical damage piece of the detonation. Hiroshima Blast, or shock wave, contributes about one-half of the nuclear weapon effect. Enormous quantities of gases are produced in the detonation causing a condition of overpressure at or above the ground zero. This gaseous mass, or "shock front," has crushing atmospheric pressure. In less than a second, the front moves away from the fireball with wind speeds reaching several hundred miles per hour. Capable of significant damage, the wall will defile the face of mother earth along with the buildings, vehicles, and life forms in its path. Debris from the destruction becomes yet another threat. Already radioactive, the debris becomes projectiles violently moved in the winds and capable of causing great damage and death. In some instances, direct and reflected waves from the blast may converge. This "Mack effect" significantly increases their strength and damage potential from the blast. The ground zero, or crater area, for such a weapon would nominally be measured in miles.

Thermal Effect. This is the fire making piece of the detonation. An enormous explosion instantly followed by brilliant light and heat are the signature of a nuclear detonation. The danger to life and civilization here is simple to explain: How hot and how bright will it get? The answer to both is "intense" and measured on scales beyond daily comprehension. A temperature in the order of several thousand degrees Fahrenheit would put us in the ballpark for a small nuclear device. As this intense heat expands outward from the fireball, everything in it's path becomes a candidate for progressive fire ignition. (Wood and paper type items burn in 400 - 500 F range). Secondary explosions of fuel containers will add to the intensity. The light produced will be blinding - permanently so, if viewed directly or for too long. Temporary loss of vision, or flash blindness, will be common from the extreme light intensity. Flash burns to unexposed skin will occur at considerable distances from the explosion. These thermal radiation effects constitute about one-third of the total weapon effect.

Initial Radiation. This is the mass casualty piece of the detonation. During the first minute, the detonation produces gamma rays, neutrons, beta particles and a small amount of alpha particles. The alpha and beta particles travel a relatively short distance, inches to several feet, and thus are not particularly threatening. Gamma rays and neutrons will cause significant injuries and will travel considerable distance in the air. Radiation exposure is measured in Centigrays (cGy) or "Rads." Simply put, greater exposure means greater injury. Hiroshima Incapacitation will occur in a matter of minutes with same day death given exposure to 8,000 rads. At lower levels, the human body will make a partial recovery within an hour of the explosion. Radiation illness and death will follow over days to weeks. Radiation illness is characterized by projectile vomiting, diarrhea, nausea and delirium. Initial Radiation can also adversely effect communications and electronic systems including computers. Although the radiation exposure is transient, the effect is often permanent on such systems. Residual radiation occurs after the first minute of the blast. This is the origin of fallout: radioactive residue from the bomb mixed with debris (earth and material) from the blast area. Winds can carry and spread this radiation over large geographic areas at distances much greater than the other nuclear effects. Early fallout is a physiological threat to life as the radiation is strong. Delayed fallout, generally very fine particles invisible to the eye, will spread over a considerable portion of the earth's surface in time. Constantly decaying while suspended in the atmosphere, delayed fallout is less of a health concern.

Electromagnetic Pulse (EMP). This is the electronic and communications neutralizer. Gamma radiation interaction gives rise to an ionized atmosphere around the nuclear burst point. Strong magnetic and electric fields are produced by secondary explosions generally at or along the earth's surface. A high energy short duration pulse of EMP would resemble a lightening bolt. It can induce a current in any electrical conductor causing severely damage to the equipment. The size of the affected geographic area will be large to very large based on the weapon size and the altitude of the burst. Self Defense in a Nuclear Attack. A nuclear attack on the homeland will almost certainly be without warning regardless of the scenario. As such, there are only a few preparatory actions that may be taken. Reading the foregoing text for basic nuclear effects understanding or knowledge was the first such step. The second is to support and encourage action by the United States and Canada to prevent this event from ever occurring in North America, or anywhere else. The use of shelters, evacuation plans, special protective apparel and respiratory masks all require advance notice. Without notice, its come as you are.

If a nuclear detonation occurs:
  1. Drop to the ground facedown: This is to avoid the blast and flying debris. Use any terrain feature available to help protect yourself. A depression, ravine, ditch, or behind a building will all reduce dangerous exposure.

  2. Close eyes: Cover if possible. Wait for the light and heat to pass.

  3. Protect exposed skin: Pull arms and hands under the body for protection. Curl up if necessary to reduce exposure. Cover the head area if possible.

  4. Recover: The light and heat will arrive first. Within a few seconds, the blast will pass. Wait for the debris to stop falling before getting up. Regain composure and self evaluate physical condition.

  5. Relocate: If able, walk away from the blast area. Never go any closer to it.
Editor's Note: Materials presented in US Army Field Manuals 3-3, 3-4, 3-100, and 3-14 were used in the preparation of this article. The author is a retired Army Nuclear Staff Officer.

~~ J. B. Stalker

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